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- November 6, 2012 General Election
- Full List of Candidates & Measures
Full List of Candidates & Measures
Candidates
United States President
| Name & Party | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Barack Obama Democrat | P.O. Box 8102 Chicago, IL 60680 | Email Barack Obama |
| Jill Stein Pacific Green | P.O. Box 260217 Madison, WI 53726 | Email Jill Stein |
| Ross C (Rocky) Anderson Progressive | P.O. Box 3868 Salt Lake City, UT 84110 | Work Phone: 801-990-5301 Email Ross C (Rocky) Anderson |
| Gary Johnson Libertarian | 850 C Camino Chamisa Santa Fe, NM 87501 | Home Phone: 575-776-1093 Email Gary Johnson |
| Mitt Romney Republican | 585 Commercial Street Boston, MA 2109 | Work Phone: 857-288-3500 Email Mitt Romney |
| Will Christensen Constitution | P.O. Box 982 Littlefield, AZ 86432 | Home Phone: 928-347-5724 Email Will Christensen |
U.S. Representative in Congress - 5th District
| Name & Party | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Kurt Schrader Democrat | P.O. Box 3314 Oregon City, OR 97045 | Work Phone: 503-557-1324 Work Phone: 877-301-5878 Email Kurt Schrader |
| Fred Thompson Republican | 4554 12th Avenue South Salem, OR 97302 | Work Phone: 503-428-7479 Email Fred Thompson |
| Raymond Baldwin Constitution | 210 S Elm Street Canby, OR 97013 | Email Raymond Baldwin |
| Christina Jean Lugo Pacific Green | 1108 7th Street Oregon City, OR 97045 | Home Phone: 503-756-5801 Email Christina Jean Lugo |
Secretary of State
| Name & Party | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Seth Woolley Pacific Green | 3403 NE Stanton Street Portland, OR 97212 | Email Seth Woolley |
| Robert Wolfe Progressive | 1920 SW River Drive Number 806 Portland, OR 97201 | Email Robert Wolfe |
| Bruce Alexander Knight Libertarian | 3553 SE 42nd Avenue Portland, OR 97206 | Home Phone: 503-774-3832 Work Phone: 503-546-1787 Email Bruce Alexander Knight |
| Kate Brown Democrat, Working Families | 2236 SE 10th Avenue Portland, OR 97214 | Email Kate Brown |
| Knute Buehler Republican, Independent | 1863 Pioneer Parkway E Suite 610 Springfield, OR 97477 | Home Phone: 541-915-3322 information@buehler2012.com |
State Treasurer
| Name & Party | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Ted Wheeler Democrat, Working Families | P.O. Box 1812 Portland, OR 97207 | Home Phone: 503-781-3205 Work Phone: 503-378-4329 Email Ted Wheeler |
| Cameron Whitten Progressive | 2333 NW Irving Portland, OR 97209 | Home Phone: 503-890-5716 Email Cameron Whitten |
| John F Mahler Libertarian | 838 Skipper Avenue Eugene, OR 97404 | Home Phone: 541-688-3140 Email John F Mahler |
| Michael Paul Marsh Constitution | 2034 Myrtle Avenue NE Salem, OR 97301 | Home Phone: 503-399-2021 Email Michael Paul Marsh |
| Tom Cox Republican | 3136 NE Flanders Street Portland, OR 97232 | Work Phone: 503-616-2865 Email Tom Cox |
Attorney General
| Name & Party | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Henry Progressive | 5116 NE 14th Place Portland, OR 97211 | Home Phone: 503-443-5801 Work Phone: 800-445-7399 Email Chris Henry |
| James L Buchal Republican | 3425 SE Yamhill Street Suite 100 Portland, OR 97214 | Home Phone: 503-314-6597 Work Phone: 503-227-1011 Email James L Buchal |
| James E Leuenberger Constitution, Libertarian | P.O. Box 1684 Lake Oswego, OR 97035 | Home Phone: 503-303-8071 Work Phone: 503-542-7433 Email James E Leuenberger |
| Ellen Rosenblum Democrat | 2236 SE 10th Avenue Portland, OR 97214 | Work Phone: 503-597-8495 Email Ellen Rosenblum |
State Senator - 5th District
| Name & Party | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Scott Roberts Republican | 3500 Cedar Street North Bend, OR 97459 | Home Phone: 541-297-5257 Home Phone: 541-297-5257 Email Scott Roberts |
| Arnie Roblan Democrat, Independent, Working Families | P.O. Box 1410 Coos Bay, OR 97420 | Home Phone: 541-267-6609 Work Phone: 541-297-2414 Email Arnie Roblan |
State Representative - 9th District (Lincoln County Yachats South)
| Name & Party | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Caddy McKeown Democrat, Independent | P.O. Box 119 Coos Bay, OR 97420 | Home Phone: 541-267-7410 Work Phone: 541-808-2773 Email Caddy McKeown |
| Nancy Brouhard Republican | 450 Simpson Avenue North Bend, OR 97459 | Home Phone: 541-756-5081 Work Phone: 541-756-3434 Email Nancy Brouhard |
| Guy Rosinbaum Libertarian | 88510 Highway 101 Florence, OR 97439 | Home Phone: 541-361-9401 Work Phone: 541-902-3076 Email Guy Rosinbaum |
State Representative - 10th District (Lincoln County North of Yachats)
| Name & Party | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| David Gomberg Democrat, Independent, Working Families | P.O. Box 119 Neotsu, OR 97364 | Home Phone: 541-921-1281 Work Phone: 541-996-3083 Email David Gomberg |
| Jerome Grant Republican | P.O. Box 1006 Depoe Bay, OR 97341 | Work Phone: 541-444-7405 Cell Phone: 541-270-4846 Email Jerome Grant |
Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor and Industries
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Bruce Starr | 22115 NW Imbrie Drive Number 290 Hillsboro, OR 97124 | Work Phone: 503-310-7500 Work Phone: 503-310-7500 |
| Brad Avakian | 2236 SE 10th Avenue Portland, OR 97214 | Home Phone: 503-430-5588 Work Phone: 971-673-0781 |
Judge of the Supreme Court, Position 3
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Richard C Baldwin | 1021 SW 4th Avenue Portland, OR 97204 | Work Phone: 503-988-3052 Work Phone: 503-988-3052 |
| Nena Cook | 1000 SW Broadway Suite 1400 Portland, OR 97205 | Home Phone: 503-290-6226 Work Phone: 503-243-1626 |
Judge of the Court of Appeals, Position 6
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| James C Egan | 422 SW 5th Avenue Albany, OR 97321 | Home Phone: 541-967-3865 Work Phone: 541-967-3865 |
| Tim Volpert | 3214 NE U.S. Grant Place Portland, OR 97212 | Home Phone: 503-281-7092 Work Phone: 503-241-2300 |
County Commissioner - Position 2
| Name & Party | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Bill Hall Democrat | P.O. Box 465 Newport, OR 97365 | Work Phone: 541-265-4100 Email Bill Hall |
| Tom Runions Republican | 521 NE Yaquina Heights Drive Newport, OR 97365 | Cell Phone: 541-270-6064 Email Tom Runions |
County Sheriff
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Dennis Dotson | P.O. Box 1436 Newport, OR 97365 | Home Phone: 541-265-6187 Work Phone: 541-265-0652 Email Dennis Dotson |
| A Steven Frey | 237 NW 56th Street Newport, OR 97365 | Home Phone: 541-264-0560 Work Phone: 541-265-4277 Email A Steven Frey |
County Treasurer
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Pilson | 225 West Olive Street Room 206 Newport, OR 97365 | Home Phone: 541-875-4132 Work Phone: 541-265-0357 Email Linda Pilson |
Lincoln County Soil and Water Conservation District, Zone 2
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan N Gassner | 10264 Nashville Road Eddyville, OR 97343 | Home Phone: 541-456-2051 Email Ryan N Gassner |
Lincoln County Soil and Water Conservation District, Zone 3
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Sterling L Grant | 219 Grant Creek Road Eddyville, OR 97343 | Home Phone: 541-438-4581 |
Lincoln County Soil and Water Conservation District, Zone 4
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Wayne DeMoray | 4197 Highway 101 North Yachats, OR 97498 | Work Phone: 541-265-5993 Cell Phone: 541-270-1653 |
Lincoln County Soil and Water Conservation District, Zone 5
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| WG (Rennie) Ferris | 5640 NW Biggs Street Newport, OR 97365 | Home Phone: 541-270-3786 Email WG (Rennie) Ferris |
Lincoln County Soil and Water Conservation District, At Large
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Wayne Hoffman | 260 SE 97th Court South Beach, OR 97366 | Home Phone: 541-867-4189 Work Phone: 541-265-9195 Email Wayne Hoffman |
Central Lincoln PUD, Subdivision 3
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Curt Abbott | 760 SW Range Drive Waldport, OR 97394 | Home Phone: 541-563-2257 Work Phone: 541-351-8947 Email Curt Abbott |
Central Lincoln PUD, Subdivision 4
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| William Fleenor | 3535 N Rhododendron Drive Florence, OR 97439 | Home Phone: 541-285-8935 Email William Fleenor |
| Judy M Matheny | 2193 13th Street Florence, OR 97439 | Work Phone: 541-902-8724 Cell Phone: 541-999-1758 Email Judy M Matheny |
City of Depoe Bay Mayor
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| AJ (Jim) Mattila | P.O. Box 1225 Depoe Bay, OR 97341 | Cell Phone: 541-961-7742 |
| Carol Connors | P.O. Box 1008 Depoe Bay, OR 97341 | Home Phone: 541-765-7726 Email Carol Connors |
City of Depoe Bay Council Member, Position 1
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Robert Gambino | P.O. Box 26 Depoe Bay, OR 97341 | Cell Phone: 503-349-4758 Email Robert Gambino |
City of Depoe Bay Council Member, Position 2
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Zeke Olsen | P.O. Box 157 Depoe Bay, OR 97341 | Home Phone: 541-921-7162 Work Phone: 541-765-3430 Email Zeke Olsen |
City of Depoe Bay Council Member, Position 3
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Carrie Wyckoff Philpott | P.O. Box 135 Depoe Bay, OR 97341 | Home Phone: 541-765-3186 Work Phone: 360-901-1719 Email Carrie Wyckoff Philpott |
| Skip Hoitink | P.O. Box 1173 Depoe Bay, OR 97341 | Home Phone: 541-765-2255 |
City of Depoe Bay Council Member, Position 6
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Berry | 1325 Meadow Lane Depoe Bay, OR 97341 | Home Phone: 541-992-3520 Email Brent Berry |
| Ted G Lewis | P.O. Box 596 Depoe Bay, OR 97341 | Home Phone: 541-992-5566 Email Ted G Lewis |
City of Lincoln City Council Member, Ward I
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Wes Ryan | 2820 NE 45th Street Lincoln City, OR 97367 | Home Phone: 541-996-4038 Work Phone: 541-996-3623 Email Wes Ryan |
City of Lincoln City Council Member, Ward II
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Chester R Noreikis | 1421 NW 19th Street Lincoln City, OR 97367 | Home Phone: 541-996-3755 Email Chester R Noreikis |
City of Lincoln City Council Member, Ward III
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Roger Sprague | P.O. Box 286 Lincoln City, OR 97367 | Home Phone: 541-994-2651 Cell Phone: 541-921-5547 Email Roger Sprague |
City of Newport Mayor
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Jeff Bertuleit | 354 SE 2nd Street Newport, OR 97365 | Home Phone: 541-265-3032 Email Jeff Bertuleit |
| Sandra Roumagoux | 19 SW Hurbert Street Newport, OR 97365 | Email Sandra Roumagoux |
City of Newport Council Members, Vote for 3
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Laura Swanson | 317 NE 5th Street Newport, OR 97365 | Home Phone: 541-574-0438 |
| Dean Sawyer | 2506 NE Douglas Street Newport, OR 97365 | Home Phone: 541-265-8720 Work Phone: 541-444-8298 Email Dean Sawyer |
| Randy Holman | 120 NE 60th Street Number H Newport, OR 97365 | Home Phone: 541-264-1194 Cell Phone: 541-264-1194 Email Randy Holman |
| Bill Bain | P.O. Box 1047 Newport, OR 97365 | Home Phone: 541-265-5876 Work Phone: 541-265-3012 Email Bill Bain |
| Ralph Busby | 645 SE 3rd Street Newport, OR 97365 | Cell Phone: 609-226-9976 Email Ralph Busby |
City of Siletz Mayor
No Candidate Filed.
City of Siletz Council Member, Position 2
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Ron Hervey | P.O. Box 548 Siletz, OR 97380 | Home Phone: 541-444-2494 Email Ron Hervey |
City of Siletz Council Member, Position 3
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Patrizia R Skauge | P.O. Box 439 Siletz, OR 97380 | Home Phone: 541-444-1228 Cell Phone: 541-270-3966 Email Patrizia R Skauge |
City of Toledo Mayor
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Ralph E Grutzmacher | 829 SE Fir Street Toledo, OR 97391 | Home Phone: 541-336-2856 Email Ralph E Grutzmacher |
City of Toledo Council Members, Vote for 3
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Jackie Kauffman | 316 North Main Street Number 3 Toledo, OR 97391 | Cell Phone: 541-272-4057 Email Jackie Kauffman |
| Jill M Lyon | 829 SE Fir Street Toledo, OR 97391 | Home Phone: 541-336-2856 Email Jill M Lyon |
City of Waldport Mayor
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Susan Woodruff | P.O. Box 1631 Waldport, OR 97394 | Home Phone: 541-563-2479 Cell Phone: 541-961-3798 Email Susan Woodruff |
City of Waldport Council Members, Vote for 3
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Peter J Kelly | P.O. Box 823 Waldport, OR 97394 | Home Phone: 541-563-5566 Email Peter J Kelly |
| Mark Campbell | 1680 Crestline Drive Waldport, OR 97394 | Work Phone: 541-563-3020 Cell Phone: 541-961-5976 Email Mark Campbell |
| Pauline Gates | 2240 S Crestline Drive Waldport, OR 97394 | Home Phone: 541-563-2404 Work Phone: 541-563-6436 Email Pauline Gates |
City of Yachats Mayor
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Larry L Nixon | P.O. Box 80 Yachats, OR 97498 | Home Phone: 541-547-3663 Cell Phone: 541-921-7678 Email Larry L Nixon |
| Ron Brean | P.O. Box 1117 Yachats, OR 97498 | Home Phone: 541-547-3640 Cell Phone: 541-272-1310 Email Ron Brean |
City of Yachats Council Members, Vote for 2
| Name | Mailing Address | Phone Numbers |
|---|---|---|
| Lynne I Dimmick | P.O. Box 41 Yachats, OR 97498 | Home Phone: 541-547-5369 Cell Phone: 541-829-9300 Email Lynne I Dimmick |
| Sandy Dunn | P.O. Box 638 Yachats, OR 97498 | Home Phone: 541-547-3205 Email Sandy Dunn |
State Measures
Amends Constitution
Governor may declare a "catastrophic disaster" (defined); requires a legislative session; authorizes suspending specified constitutional spending restrictions.
Amends Constitution
Changes constitutional language describing a governmental system of separation of powers; makes grammatical and spelling changes.
Amends Constitution
Prohibits real estate transfer taxes, fees, and other assessments, except those operatives on December 31, 2009.
Allows personal marijuana, and hemp cultivation/use without a license; commission to regulate commercial marijuana cultivation/sale.
Prohibits commercial non-tribal fishing with gillnets in Oregon inland waters," allows the use of seine nets.
Amends Constitution
Authorizes establishment of privately-owned casinos; mandates a percentage of revenues payable to the dedicated state funds.
Authorizes privately-owned Wood Village casino; mandates a percentage of revenues payable to the dedicated state fund.
Phases out existing inheritance taxes on large estates, and all taxes on intra-family property transfers.
Amends Constitution
Allocates corporate income/excise tax "kicker" refund to additionally fund Kindergarten through 12th grade public education.
Local Measures
County of Lincoln
Children's Trust of Lincoln County: Investing in Our Children's Future.
Question
Shall the County levy 35¢ per $1000 assessed value for five years beginning in 2013-2014 to support children's programs and services?
This measure may cause property taxes to increase by more than 3%.
Summary
The measure would finance the County's establishment of dedicated funds for a Children's Trust providing grants for children's programs and services. Approval of this measure would allow Lincoln County to provide funding for children's programs and services for all areas of Lincoln County, including all cities.
Funds will be focused on but not limited to programs for:
- Child Abuse Prevention and Intervention: assistance to abused children and abuse prevention programs for parents and related programs and services.
- Early Childhood Education and Childcare: preparing children for success and providing affordable quality childcare and related programs and services.
- Outside-of-School Child Development: helping children achieve, stay safe, and develop positive behaviors for community membership. Includes tutoring, mentoring, the arts, athletics, nutrition, homeless youth services, and mental health and substance abuse services, and related programs and services.
Accountability
- Cost-effective programs with proven records of success
- Citizen Allocation Committee representing all parts of the County
- Funds awarded through competitive process
- County fiscal agent for funds
A home valued at $200,000 pays $70 per year or less.
It is estimated that this measure would raise approximately $2.40 million in tax revenues from 2013 to 2014, $2.44 million in tax revenues for 2014 to 2015, $2.50 million in tax revenues for 2015 to 2016, $2.54 million in tax revenues for 2016 to 2017, and $2.59 million in tax revenues for 2017 to 2018. The estimated tax cost for this measure is an estimate only based on the best information available from the county assessor at the time of estimate.
City of Yachats
Charter Amendment Referred to the Voters by the City Council.
Question
Shall the Yachats City Charter be amended to remove certain restrictions on the City's purchase and sale of real property?
Summary
The City Council of Yachats reviewed the current City Charter and voted to place this proposed Charter amendment on the November 6, 2012 ballot. If approved by the voters, the amended Charter would go into effect on January 1, 2013. The proposed Charter amendment would eliminate the requirement for voter pre-approval of the City's purchase or sale of real property. The proposed Charter amendment would allow the City Council to make decisions on the purchase or sale of real property without first presenting the issue to City voters. All other requirements for final City Council action would remain in effect, including public meeting requirements and voter approval of general obligation bonds that might be sought to finance the purchase of real property. The City Council determined that the City of Yachats is the only Oregon city with a charter requiring voter pre-approval of real property transactions.
County of Lincoln
Advisory Vote/Amending Constitution Addressing Corporate/Union Political Speech.
Question
Should citizens urge Congress/Oregon Legislature to amend Constitution to clarify corporation/union political speech rights, allowing campaign finance regulation and limits?
Summary
This is a non-binding advisory vote submitted by the Lincoln County Board of Commissioners to the citizens of Lincoln County. It asks voters if they desire to urge the Oregon State Legislature and United States Congress to overturn a recent United States Supreme Court decision in Citizens United versus The Federal Elections Commission and American Tradition Partnership, Inc. versus Bullock and the State of Montana (holding that under the United States Constitution's First Amendment corporations and unions are "persons" who should be treated the same as individuals in political speech, thereby striking down campaign finance restriction on corporate and union spending to influence elections, candidate selection and votes in both federal and state elections). The "Yes" vote expresses the desire to amend the Federal Constitution to allow the regulation, limitation, or prohibition of contributions and expenditures of corporations and unions in political election campaigns. The "No" vote indicates the desire to maintain the current law as interpreted by the Supreme Court and to treat corporations and unions as persons with the same political speech rights as individuals.
County of Lincoln
Formation of Animal Services District/Establishment of Permanent Rate Levy.
Question
Shall the County form the Animal Services District and adopt a permanent rate levy of $0.11 per 1,000 assessed value beginning Fiscal Year 2013 to 2014?
Summary
Lincoln County initiated the formation of a countywide Animal Services District and the adoption of a permanent rate levy, both subject to voter approval. The intent of this measure is to replace the existing voter-approved five-year local option tax with a permanent rate levy to stabilize future funding for animal shelter and animal control services. The District formation was approved by all the cities in Lincoln County.
Approval of this measure authorizes the formation of the Lincoln County Animal Services District and adopts a permanent rate levy of $0.11 (11 cents) per $1,000 of assessed value beginning Fiscal Year (FY) 2013 to 2014 as the annual maximum rate of operating taxes for the District to continue to provide stable funding for animal shelter and animal control services for all areas of Lincoln County, including all cities. The permanent rate levy will replace the existing voter-approved $0.11 (11 cents) per $1,000 local option tax for animal services beginning Fiscal Year 2013 to 2014. The County will cease collecting the local option tax if this measure is approved.
Yachats Rural Fire Protection District
Renewal of Local Option Tax for the Yachats Fire District.
Question
Shall Yachats Fire District renew its tax for operations of 61¢ per $1000 assessed value for five years beginning 2014 to 2015? This measure renews current local option taxes.
Summary
Approval of this measure would renew the current five-year local option tax set to expire in the tax year 2013 to 2014, at the same rate now in effect, for an additional five years.
It is estimated that this measure would raise approximately $308,409 in tax revenues for 2014 to 2015, $317,661 in tax revenues for 2015 to 2016, $327,191 in tax revenues for 2016 to 2017, $337,007 in tax revenues for 2017 to 2018, and $347,117 for 2018 to 2019.
Revenues would be used by the Yachats Rural Fire Protection District to continue to staff Emergency Medical Services, pay the operating costs of the District, replace older vehicles, continue expanded training, and purchase protective equipment, hose, and other small equipment.
Seal Rock Rural Fire Protection District
Continuation of Local Option Tax for Seal Rock Rural Fire Protection District (RFPD).
Question
Shall the District levy a local option tax of $0.20 per $1,000 of assessed value for five years beginning from 2014 to 2015?
Summary
Approval of this measure would allow the District to retain a full-time fire chief and pay expenses related to that position.
The District has only one full-time employee, the chief. The chief is responsible for effectively managing the District and its resources, recruiting, and training volunteer firefighters, complying with governmental regulations, adhering to industry standards, applying for grants, and other responsibilities designated by the Board of Directors of the District.
The levy is a continuation of the levy approved by the voters in 2008. The rate of the levy remains the same as previously approved at $0.20 per $1,000 of assessed valuation. The proposed rate will raise approximately $91,582 from 2014 to 2015; $94,330 from 2015 to 2016, $97,160 from 2016 to 2017; $100,075 from 2017 to 2018; and $103,077 from 2018 to 2019. The estimated cost for this measure is an estimate only based on the best information available from the County Assessor at the time of the estimate.